Running 'testthat.R' [89s]
Running the tests in 'tests/testthat.R' failed.
Complete output:
  > Sys.setenv("R_TESTS" = "")
  > library(testthat)
  > library(prophet)
  Loading required package: Rcpp
  > 
  > test_check("prophet")
  Initial log joint probability = -2.90704
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.73076
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.71347
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.92862
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.92862
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -4.03626
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -4.00569
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: relative gradient magnitude is below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -4.02867
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.90704
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -3.00667
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.92862
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.90704
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.37743
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.41915
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.37743
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.41915
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.90704
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.37293
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.36987
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.39379
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.73076
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.71347
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.92862
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -15.5191
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: relative gradient magnitude is below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -7.65012
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: relative gradient magnitude is below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -7.65012
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -7.65012
  Optimization terminated with error: 
    Line search failed to achieve a sufficient decrease, no more progress can be made
  Initial log joint probability = -7.28986
  Optimization terminated with error: 
    Line search failed to achieve a sufficient decrease, no more progress can be made
  Initial log joint probability = -8.68627
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: relative gradient magnitude is below tolerance
  
  Initial log joint probability = -212.902
  Iteration  1. Log joint probability =    160.265. Improved by 373.168.
  Iteration  2. Log joint probability =    292.893. Improved by 132.628.
  Iteration  3. Log joint probability =    292.908. Improved by 0.0149839.
  Iteration  4. Log joint probability =    292.955. Improved by 0.0469686.
  Iteration  5. Log joint probability =    292.978. Improved by 0.0228419.
  Iteration  6. Log joint probability =    293.149. Improved by 0.171519.
  Iteration  7. Log joint probability =    293.286. Improved by 0.136264.
  Iteration  8. Log joint probability =    293.337. Improved by 0.0515725.
  Iteration  9. Log joint probability =    293.426. Improved by 0.0886736.
  Iteration 10. Log joint probability =    293.473. Improved by 0.0467925.
  Iteration 11. Log joint probability =    293.561. Improved by 0.0883539.
  Iteration 12. Log joint probability =    293.596. Improved by 0.0351442.
  Iteration 13. Log joint probability =      293.7. Improved by 0.103248.
  Iteration 14. Log joint probability =    293.719. Improved by 0.0191004.
  Iteration 15. Log joint probability =    293.841. Improved by 0.12245.
  Iteration 16. Log joint probability =    325.129. Improved by 31.2875.
  Iteration 17. Log joint probability =    325.156. Improved by 0.0274493.
  Iteration 18. Log joint probability =    325.165. Improved by 0.00934469.
  Iteration 19. Log joint probability =    325.171. Improved by 0.00554456.
  Iteration 20. Log joint probability =    325.186. Improved by 0.0153562.
  Iteration 21. Log joint probability =    325.422. Improved by 0.235846.
  Iteration 22. Log joint probability =    325.547. Improved by 0.12532.
  Iteration 23. Log joint probability =    325.664. Improved by 0.116103.
  Iteration 24. Log joint probability =    325.841. Improved by 0.177295.
  Iteration 25. Log joint probability =    326.469. Improved by 0.628555.
  Iteration 26. Log joint probability =    327.271. Improved by 0.801603.
  Iteration 27. Log joint probability =    327.806. Improved by 0.534554.
  Iteration 28. Log joint probability =    327.935. Improved by 0.129854.
  Iteration 29. Log joint probability =    328.017. Improved by 0.0812055.
  Iteration 30. Log joint probability =    328.099. Improved by 0.081933.
  Iteration 31. Log joint probability =    328.452. Improved by 0.353459.
  Iteration 32. Log joint probability =    328.576. Improved by 0.124324.
  Iteration 33. Log joint probability =    328.674. Improved by 0.0977901.
  Iteration 34. Log joint probability =    328.685. Improved by 0.0110282.
  Iteration 35. Log joint probability =    329.642. Improved by 0.957171.
  Iteration 36. Log joint probability =      329.7. Improved by 0.0574309.
  Iteration 37. Log joint probability =    330.274. Improved by 0.574641.
  Iteration 38. Log joint probability =    331.637. Improved by 1.36229.
  Iteration 39. Log joint probability =    331.642. Improved by 0.00552898.
  Iteration 40. Log joint probability =    331.684. Improved by 0.0420129.
  Iteration 41. Log joint probability =    331.695. Improved by 0.0105009.
  Iteration 42. Log joint probability =    332.526. Improved by 0.830972.
  Iteration 43. Log joint probability =    332.929. Improved by 0.403653.
  Iteration 44. Log joint probability =    333.287. Improved by 0.357169.
  Iteration 45. Log joint probability =      337.3. Improved by 4.01375.
  Iteration 46. Log joint probability =    346.414. Improved by 9.11406.
  Iteration 47. Log joint probability =    348.414. Improved by 1.99952.
  Iteration 48. Log joint probability =    352.048. Improved by 3.63437.
  Iteration 49. Log joint probability =    352.626. Improved by 0.577977.
  Iteration 50. Log joint probability =    363.027. Improved by 10.4008.
  Iteration 51. Log joint probability =     363.05. Improved by 0.0227995.
  Iteration 52. Log joint probability =    363.188. Improved by 0.137922.
  Iteration 53. Log joint probability =    363.749. Improved by 0.561193.
  Iteration 54. Log joint probability =    364.185. Improved by 0.435738.
  Iteration 55. Log joint probability =    364.496. Improved by 0.311554.
  Iteration 56. Log joint probability =    365.103. Improved by 0.606614.
  Iteration 57. Log joint probability =    365.301. Improved by 0.197749.
  Iteration 58. Log joint probability =    365.319. Improved by 0.0183176.
  Iteration 59. Log joint probability =    366.788. Improved by 1.46881.
  Iteration 60. Log joint probability =    367.001. Improved by 0.213091.
  Iteration 61. Log joint probability =    368.566. Improved by 1.56533.
  Iteration 62. Log joint probability =        369. Improved by 0.433649.
  Iteration 63. Log joint probability =    369.793. Improved by 0.793463.
  Iteration 64. Log joint probability =    369.845. Improved by 0.0518781.
  Iteration 65. Log joint probability =    369.916. Improved by 0.0706726.
  Iteration 66. Log joint probability =    370.386. Improved by 0.470454.
  Iteration 67. Log joint probability =     371.31. Improved by 0.923682.
  Iteration 68. Log joint probability =    371.334. Improved by 0.0238287.
  Iteration 69. Log joint probability =    371.388. Improved by 0.0544661.
  Iteration 70. Log joint probability =    371.446. Improved by 0.0578984.
  Iteration 71. Log joint probability =    371.543. Improved by 0.0967003.
  Iteration 72. Log joint probability =    371.671. Improved by 0.128361.
  Iteration 73. Log joint probability =    371.846. Improved by 0.174354.
  Iteration 74. Log joint probability =    372.134. Improved by 0.288423.
  Iteration 75. Log joint probability =    372.428. Improved by 0.294103.
  Iteration 76. Log joint probability =    373.114. Improved by 0.686027.
  Iteration 77. Log joint probability =    373.128. Improved by 0.01362.
  Iteration 78. Log joint probability =    374.348. Improved by 1.22045.
  Iteration 79. Log joint probability =    378.455. Improved by 4.10716.
  Iteration 80. Log joint probability =    380.148. Improved by 1.693.
  Iteration 81. Log joint probability =    380.554. Improved by 0.406124.
  Iteration 82. Log joint probability =    380.752. Improved by 0.197184.
  Iteration 83. Log joint probability =    380.764. Improved by 0.0121606.
  Iteration 84. Log joint probability =    380.804. Improved by 0.0405526.
  Iteration 85. Log joint probability =    380.975. Improved by 0.17038.
  Iteration 86. Log joint probability =    384.115. Improved by 3.1401.
  Iteration 87. Log joint probability =    384.413. Improved by 0.297694.
  Iteration 88. Log joint probability =     385.82. Improved by 1.40711.
  Iteration 89. Log joint probability =    386.438. Improved by 0.618213.
  Iteration 90. Log joint probability =    386.588. Improved by 0.149759.
  Iteration 91. Log joint probability =    386.662. Improved by 0.073962.
  Iteration 92. Log joint probability =    388.042. Improved by 1.38054.
  Iteration 93. Log joint probability =    388.063. Improved by 0.0210815.
  Iteration 94. Log joint probability =    388.337. Improved by 0.274155.
  Iteration 95. Log joint probability =    391.246. Improved by 2.90872.
  Iteration 96. Log joint probability =    391.257. Improved by 0.0104982.
  Iteration 97. Log joint probability =    391.574. Improved by 0.317042.
  Iteration 98. Log joint probability =      391.8. Improved by 0.226751.
  Iteration 99. Log joint probability =    392.486. Improved by 0.685572.
  Iteration 100. Log joint probability =    392.526. Improved by 0.0401724.
  Iteration 101. Log joint probability =    392.722. Improved by 0.195426.
  Iteration 102. Log joint probability =    392.747. Improved by 0.0257994.
  Iteration 103. Log joint probability =    393.038. Improved by 0.290882.
  Iteration 104. Log joint probability =    393.043. Improved by 0.00431871.
  Iteration 105. Log joint probability =    393.061. Improved by 0.0181708.
  Iteration 106. Log joint probability =    394.083. Improved by 1.02275.
  Iteration 107. Log joint probability =    394.084. Improved by 0.000446707.
  Iteration 108. Log joint probability =     394.17. Improved by 0.0861918.
  Iteration 109. Log joint probability =    394.208. Improved by 0.0383335.
  Iteration 110. Log joint probability =    394.215. Improved by 0.00616965.
  Iteration 111. Log joint probability =     394.25. Improved by 0.0354698.
  Iteration 112. Log joint probability =    397.935. Improved by 3.68491.
  Iteration 113. Log joint probability =    398.056. Improved by 0.121436.
  Iteration 114. Log joint probability =    398.062. Improved by 0.00569007.
  Iteration 115. Log joint probability =    398.105. Improved by 0.0426914.
  Iteration 116. Log joint probability =    398.576. Improved by 0.470737.
  Iteration 117. Log joint probability =    398.599. Improved by 0.0238878.
  Iteration 118. Log joint probability =    398.665. Improved by 0.0651194.
  Iteration 119. Log joint probability =    398.703. Improved by 0.0382865.
  Iteration 120. Log joint probability =    398.824. Improved by 0.120896.
  Iteration 121. Log joint probability =    398.839. Improved by 0.0152359.
  Iteration 122. Log joint probability =     398.88. Improved by 0.0409861.
  Iteration 123. Log joint probability =     398.89. Improved by 0.0102117.
  Iteration 124. Log joint probability =    401.519. Improved by 2.62875.
  Iteration 125. Log joint probability =     401.56. Improved by 0.0408956.
  Iteration 126. Log joint probability =    404.097. Improved by 2.53739.
  Iteration 127. Log joint probability =    404.223. Improved by 0.125403.
  Iteration 128. Log joint probability =     404.42. Improved by 0.197198.
  Iteration 129. Log joint probability =    405.015. Improved by 0.595329.
  Iteration 130. Log joint probability =    405.143. Improved by 0.127519.
  Iteration 131. Log joint probability =    405.322. Improved by 0.17971.
  Iteration 132. Log joint probability =    410.842. Improved by 5.51999.
  Iteration 133. Log joint probability =    410.914. Improved by 0.0718508.
  Iteration 134. Log joint probability =    410.931. Improved by 0.0168563.
  Iteration 135. Log joint probability =     414.81. Improved by 3.87856.
  Iteration 136. Log joint probability =    414.834. Improved by 0.0241194.
  Iteration 137. Log joint probability =    414.846. Improved by 0.0120349.
  Iteration 138. Log joint probability =    414.859. Improved by 0.0133473.
  Iteration 139. Log joint probability =    414.903. Improved by 0.0434248.
  Iteration 140. Log joint probability =    414.913. Improved by 0.0106252.
  Iteration 141. Log joint probability =    416.345. Improved by 1.43228.
  Iteration 142. Log joint probability =    417.342. Improved by 0.996467.
  Iteration 143. Log joint probability =    417.685. Improved by 0.343192.
  Iteration 144. Log joint probability =    417.712. Improved by 0.0271624.
  Iteration 145. Log joint probability =    417.753. Improved by 0.0411841.
  Iteration 146. Log joint probability =    417.807. Improved by 0.0540242.
  Iteration 147. Log joint probability =    417.842. Improved by 0.0341346.
  Iteration 148. Log joint probability =    417.859. Improved by 0.017478.
  Iteration 149. Log joint probability =    417.878. Improved by 0.0190757.
  Iteration 150. Log joint probability =     417.88. Improved by 0.00224667.
  Iteration 151. Log joint probability =    417.895. Improved by 0.0141272.
  Iteration 152. Log joint probability =    417.901. Improved by 0.00661473.
  Iteration 153. Log joint probability =    417.904. Improved by 0.00301607.
  Iteration 154. Log joint probability =    417.964. Improved by 0.060312.
  Iteration 155. Log joint probability =    417.989. Improved by 0.0244236.
  Iteration 156. Log joint probability =    418.029. Improved by 0.0397218.
  Iteration 157. Log joint probability =    418.047. Improved by 0.0180096.
  Iteration 158. Log joint probability =    418.054. Improved by 0.00702072.
  Iteration 159. Log joint probability =    418.056. Improved by 0.00228513.
  Iteration 160. Log joint probability =    418.066. Improved by 0.0105714.
  Iteration 161. Log joint probability =    418.071. Improved by 0.00436126.
  Iteration 162. Log joint probability =    418.075. Improved by 0.00385691.
  Iteration 163. Log joint probability =    418.077. Improved by 0.00247259.
  Iteration 164. Log joint probability =     418.08. Improved by 0.00317827.
  Iteration 165. Log joint probability =    418.083. Improved by 0.00230841.
  Iteration 166. Log joint probability =    418.083. Improved by 0.000466616.
  Iteration 167. Log joint probability =    418.083. Improved by 0.000259893.
  Iteration 168. Log joint probability =    418.084. Improved by 0.000392855.
  Iteration 169. Log joint probability =    418.084. Improved by 6.53513e-005.
  Iteration 170. Log joint probability =    418.084. Improved by 0.000198131.
  Iteration 171. Log joint probability =    418.084. Improved by 9.22791e-005.
  Iteration 172. Log joint probability =    418.084. Improved by 1.96581e-005.
  Iteration 173. Log joint probability =    418.084. Improved by 1.65304e-005.
  Iteration 174. Log joint probability =    418.084. Improved by 4.97007e-005.
  Iteration 175. Log joint probability =    418.084. Improved by 1.50356e-006.
  Iteration 176. Log joint probability =    418.084. Improved by 2.91806e-005.
  Iteration 177. Log joint probability =    418.084. Improved by 1.90972e-005.
  Iteration 178. Log joint probability =    418.084. Improved by 1.10379e-005.
  Iteration 179. Log joint probability =    418.084. Improved by 6.76094e-005.
  Iteration 180. Log joint probability =    418.084. Improved by 4.94378e-005.
  Iteration 181. Log joint probability =    418.084. Improved by 2.89912e-005.
  Iteration 182. Log joint probability =    418.084. Improved by 1.33993e-005.
  Iteration 183. Log joint probability =    418.084. Improved by 1.39961e-005.
  Iteration 184. Log joint probability =    418.084. Improved by 1.48716e-006.
  Iteration 185. Log joint probability =    418.084. Improved by 9.54705e-006.
  Iteration 186. Log joint probability =    418.084. Improved by 5.52231e-006.
  Iteration 187. Log joint probability =    418.084. Improved by 1.74209e-005.
  Iteration 188. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 1.35705e-005.
  Iteration 189. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 6.03229e-006.
  Iteration 190. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 2.62654e-006.
  Iteration 191. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 4.91427e-006.
  Iteration 192. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 3.32725e-006.
  Iteration 193. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 1.63025e-006.
  Iteration 194. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 1.86838e-006.
  Iteration 195. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 3.76115e-007.
  Iteration 196. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 1.11909e-006.
  Iteration 197. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 2.0472e-007.
  Iteration 198. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 5.27779e-007.
  Iteration 199. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 4.00177e-007.
  Iteration 200. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 2.03466e-007.
  Iteration 201. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 2.50357e-007.
  Iteration 202. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 2.65492e-007.
  Iteration 203. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 9.04692e-008.
  Iteration 204. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 3.79616e-008.
  Iteration 205. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 5.30379e-008.
  Iteration 206. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 5.90838e-008.
  Iteration 207. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 4.88494e-008.
  Iteration 208. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 2.54144e-008.
  Iteration 209. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 3.44899e-008.
  Iteration 210. Log joint probability =    418.085. Improved by 5.67212e-009.
  
  Initial log joint probability = -212.902
  Iteration  1. Log joint probability =    160.265. Improved by 373.168.
  Iteration  2. Log joint probability =    292.893. Improved by 132.628.
  Iteration  3. Log joint probability =    292.908. Improved by 0.0149839.
  Iteration  4. Log joint probability =    292.955. Improved by 0.0469687.
  Iteration  5. Log joint probability =    292.978. Improved by 0.0228419.
  Iteration  6. Log joint probability =    293.149. Improved by 0.171519.
  Iteration  7. Log joint probability =    293.286. Improved by 0.136264.
  Iteration  8. Log joint probability =    293.337. Improved by 0.0515725.
  Iteration  9. Log joint probability =    293.426. Improved by 0.0886737.
  Iteration 10. Log joint probability =    293.473. Improved by 0.0467924.
  Iteration 11. Log joint probability =    293.561. Improved by 0.0883539.
  Iteration 12. Log joint probability =    293.596. Improved by 0.0351442.
  Iteration 13. Log joint probability =      293.7. Improved by 0.103248.
  Iteration 14. Log joint probability =    293.719. Improved by 0.0191003.
  Iteration 15. Log joint probability =    293.841. Improved by 0.12245.
  Iteration 16. Log joint probability =    325.129. Improved by 31.2875.
  Iteration 17. Log joint probability =    325.156. Improved by 0.0274493.
  Iteration 18. Log joint probability =    325.165. Improved by 0.00934473.
  Iteration 19. Log joint probability =    325.171. Improved by 0.00554455.
  Iteration 20. Log joint probability =    325.186. Improved by 0.0153559.
  Iteration 21. Log joint probability =    325.422. Improved by 0.235846.
  Iteration 22. Log joint probability =    325.547. Improved by 0.12532.
  Iteration 23. Log joint probability =    325.664. Improved by 0.116103.
  Iteration 24. Log joint probability =    325.841. Improved by 0.177295.
  Iteration 25. Log joint probability =    326.469. Improved by 0.628554.
  Iteration 26. Log joint probability =    327.271. Improved by 0.801604.
  Iteration 27. Log joint probability =    327.806. Improved by 0.534555.
  Iteration 28. Log joint probability =    327.935. Improved by 0.129758.
  Iteration 29. Log joint probability =    328.017. Improved by 0.0813026.
  Iteration 30. Log joint probability =    328.098. Improved by 0.0818123.
  Iteration 31. Log joint probability =    328.452. Improved by 0.35358.
  Iteration 32. Log joint probability =    328.576. Improved by 0.124197.
  Iteration 33. Log joint probability =    328.674. Improved by 0.0980487.
  Iteration 34. Log joint probability =    328.685. Improved by 0.0107695.
  Iteration 35. Log joint probability =    329.642. Improved by 0.957171.
  Iteration 36. Log joint probability =    329.691. Improved by 0.0486412.
  Iteration 37. Log joint probability =    330.275. Improved by 0.583725.
  Iteration 38. Log joint probability =    331.637. Improved by 1.36228.
  Iteration 39. Log joint probability =    331.642. Improved by 0.00552896.
  Iteration 40. Log joint probability =    331.684. Improved by 0.0420126.
  Iteration 41. Log joint probability =    331.695. Improved by 0.0105008.
  Iteration 42. Log joint probability =    332.526. Improved by 0.83074.
  Iteration 43. Log joint probability =     332.93. Improved by 0.403884.
  Iteration 44. Log joint probability =    333.286. Improved by 0.356944.
  Iteration 45. Log joint probability =      337.3. Improved by 4.01399.
  Iteration 46. Log joint probability =    346.404. Improved by 9.10311.
  Iteration 47. Log joint probability =    348.392. Improved by 1.98834.
  Iteration 48. Log joint probability =    351.676. Improved by 3.28368.
  Iteration 49. Log joint probability =    352.915. Improved by 1.23943.
  Iteration 50. Log joint probability =    355.428. Improved by 2.51258.
  Iteration 51. Log joint probability =    358.704. Improved by 3.27623.
  Iteration 52. Log joint probability =    362.242. Improved by 3.53847.
  Iteration 53. Log joint probability =    364.821. Improved by 2.57829.
  Iteration 54. Log joint probability =    368.941. Improved by 4.12085.
  Iteration 55. Log joint probability =    369.576. Improved by 0.634208.
  Iteration 56. Log joint probability =    369.823. Improved by 0.247056.
  Iteration 57. Log joint probability =    370.288. Improved by 0.465582.
  Iteration 58. Log joint probability =    370.302. Improved by 0.013836.
  Iteration 59. Log joint probability =    370.334. Improved by 0.0318081.
  Iteration 60. Log joint probability =    370.428. Improved by 0.0937963.
  Iteration 61. Log joint probability =    370.692. Improved by 0.264628.
  Iteration 62. Log joint probability =    380.199. Improved by 9.50624.
  Iteration 63. Log joint probability =    380.225. Improved by 0.0259731.
  Iteration 64. Log joint probability =    382.952. Improved by 2.72787.
  Iteration 65. Log joint probability =    383.277. Improved by 0.324662.
  Iteration 66. Log joint probability =    383.421. Improved by 0.143728.
  Iteration 67. Log joint probability =    383.436. Improved by 0.0156255.
  Iteration 68. Log joint probability =    383.452. Improved by 0.015486.
  Iteration 69. Log joint probability =    383.468. Improved by 0.0163153.
  Iteration 70. Log joint probability =    385.213. Improved by 1.74513.
  Iteration 71. Log joint probability =    385.309. Improved by 0.09585.
  Iteration 72. Log joint probability =    385.361. Improved by 0.0520782.
  Iteration 73. Log joint probability =     385.45. Improved by 0.0882892.
  Iteration 74. Log joint probability =    385.451. Improved by 0.00184151.
  Iteration 75. Log joint probability =    389.813. Improved by 4.36167.
  Iteration 76. Log joint probability =    389.837. Improved by 0.0238102.
  Iteration 77. Log joint probability =    390.431. Improved by 0.594156.
  Iteration 78. Log joint probability =    390.609. Improved by 0.177785.
  Iteration 79. Log joint probability =    390.637. Improved by 0.028144.
  Iteration 80. Log joint probability =    390.703. Improved by 0.0655582.
  Iteration 81. Log joint probability =    390.855. Improved by 0.152604.
  Iteration 82. Log joint probability =    391.663. Improved by 0.807718.
  Iteration 83. Log joint probability =    391.684. Improved by 0.0212857.
  Iteration 84. Log joint probability =    391.738. Improved by 0.0534637.
  Iteration 85. Log joint probability =    391.983. Improved by 0.245427.
  Iteration 86. Log joint probability =    392.888. Improved by 0.904558.
  Iteration 87. Log joint probability =    395.069. Improved by 2.18144.
  Iteration 88. Log joint probability =    395.302. Improved by 0.233222.
  Iteration 89. Log joint probability =    395.331. Improved by 0.0286636.
  Iteration 90. Log joint probability =    399.992. Improved by 4.66115.
  Iteration 91. Log joint probability =    400.115. Improved by 0.123145.
  Iteration 92. Log joint probability =    400.212. Improved by 0.0968314.
  Iteration 93. Log joint probability =    400.226. Improved by 0.0136312.
  Iteration 94. Log joint probability =    400.314. Improved by 0.0882903.
  Iteration 95. Log joint probability =    400.354. Improved by 0.0399531.
  Iteration 96. Log joint probability =    401.028. Improved by 0.673583.
  Iteration 97. Log joint probability =    401.057. Improved by 0.0294595.
  Iteration 98. Log joint probability =    401.798. Improved by 0.740702.
  Iteration 99. Log joint probability =    401.957. Improved by 0.15927.
  Iteration 100. Log joint probability =    402.134. Improved by 0.177209.
  Iteration 101. Log joint probability =    402.272. Improved by 0.138069.
  Iteration 102. Log joint probability =    402.696. Improved by 0.423617.
  Iteration 103. Log joint probability =    402.706. Improved by 0.0101642.
  Iteration 104. Log joint probability =    403.921. Improved by 1.21538.
  Iteration 105. Log joint probability =    403.945. Improved by 0.0237317.
  Iteration 106. Log joint probability =    403.951. Improved by 0.00621615.
  Iteration 107. Log joint probability =    403.957. Improved by 0.00543078.
  Iteration 108. Log joint probability =    404.151. Improved by 0.194306.
  Iteration 109. Log joint probability =    404.163. Improved by 0.0124059.
  Iteration 110. Log joint probability =    404.233. Improved by 0.0690436.
  Iteration 111. Log joint probability =    404.258. Improved by 0.0251018.
  Iteration 112. Log joint probability =    404.262. Improved by 0.00483346.
  Iteration 113. Log joint probability =    405.118. Improved by 0.85506.
  Iteration 114. Log joint probability =    405.185. Improved by 0.0678154.
  Iteration 115. Log joint probability =     405.25. Improved by 0.0650413.
  Iteration 116. Log joint probability =     405.31. Improved by 0.0599887.
  Iteration 117. Log joint probability =    405.361. Improved by 0.0507752.
  Iteration 118. Log joint probability =    406.778. Improved by 1.41667.
  Iteration 119. Log joint probability =    409.975. Improved by 3.19712.
  Iteration 120. Log joint probability =        410. Improved by 0.0246398.
  Iteration 121. Log joint probability =    410.125. Improved by 0.12573.
  Iteration 122. Log joint probability =     410.53. Improved by 0.404568.
  Iteration 123. Log joint probability =    411.712. Improved by 1.18243.
  Iteration 124. Log joint probability =    412.136. Improved by 0.423936.
  Iteration 125. Log joint probability =    412.345. Improved by 0.2083.
  Iteration 126. Log joint probability =    412.448. Improved by 0.10319.
  Iteration 127. Log joint probability =    412.453. Improved by 0.00539388.
  Iteration 128. Log joint probability =    413.584. Improved by 1.13089.
  Iteration 129. Log joint probability =    413.906. Improved by 0.321683.
  Iteration 130. Log joint probability =    413.946. Improved by 0.0400279.
  Iteration 131. Log joint probability =    413.962. Improved by 0.0167556.
  Iteration 132. Log joint probability =    413.971. Improved by 0.00883064.
  Iteration 133. Log joint probability =    414.117. Improved by 0.146133.
  Iteration 134. Log joint probability =    414.648. Improved by 0.530409.
  Iteration 135. Log joint probability =    414.739. Improved by 0.0910862.
  Iteration 136. Log joint probability =    415.202. Improved by 0.462601.
  Iteration 137. Log joint probability =    415.257. Improved by 0.0557219.
  Iteration 138. Log joint probability =    415.319. Improved by 0.0619787.
  Iteration 139. Log joint probability =     415.36. Improved by 0.0409014.
  Iteration 140. Log joint probability =    415.393. Improved by 0.0323746.
  Iteration 141. Log joint probability =    415.418. Improved by 0.0252015.
  Iteration 142. Log joint probability =     415.71. Improved by 0.291809.
  Iteration 143. Log joint probability =    415.759. Improved by 0.0490446.
  Iteration 144. Log joint probability =    415.848. Improved by 0.0897681.
  Iteration 145. Log joint probability =    415.961. Improved by 0.11301.
  Iteration 146. Log joint probability =    415.998. Improved by 0.0367698.
  Iteration 147. Log joint probability =    416.071. Improved by 0.0724282.
  Iteration 148. Log joint probability =    416.149. Improved by 0.078041.
  Iteration 149. Log joint probability =    416.166. Improved by 0.0170219.
  Iteration 150. Log joint probability =    416.198. Improved by 0.0322252.
  Iteration 151. Log joint probability =    416.207. Improved by 0.00880316.
  Iteration 152. Log joint probability =     416.22. Improved by 0.0130855.
  Iteration 153. Log joint probability =    416.232. Improved by 0.0118544.
  Iteration 154. Log joint probability =    416.241. Improved by 0.00930967.
  Iteration 155. Log joint probability =    416.247. Improved by 0.00628324.
  Iteration 156. Log joint probability =    416.251. Improved by 0.0037929.
  Iteration 157. Log joint probability =    416.251. Improved by 0.000296627.
  Iteration 158. Log joint probability =    416.252. Improved by 0.000323283.
  Iteration 159. Log joint probability =    416.256. Improved by 0.00464433.
  Iteration 160. Log joint probability =    416.258. Improved by 0.00167286.
  Iteration 161. Log joint probability =    416.259. Improved by 0.000736506.
  Iteration 162. Log joint probability =     416.26. Improved by 0.00115608.
  Iteration 163. Log joint probability =     416.26. Improved by 0.000647733.
  Iteration 164. Log joint probability =    416.261. Improved by 0.000990149.
  Iteration 165. Log joint probability =    416.262. Improved by 0.000194319.
  Iteration 166. Log joint probability =    416.262. Improved by 6.42597e-005.
  Iteration 167. Log joint probability =    416.262. Improved by 0.000698818.
  Iteration 168. Log joint probability =    416.262. Improved by 9.80448e-005.
  Iteration 169. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 8.78883e-005.
  Iteration 170. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 3.89057e-005.
  Iteration 171. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 0.000185352.
  Iteration 172. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 4.69064e-005.
  Iteration 173. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 4.08603e-005.
  Iteration 174. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 5.89863e-005.
  Iteration 175. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 2.08456e-005.
  Iteration 176. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 1.65337e-005.
  Iteration 177. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 7.55574e-006.
  Iteration 178. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 1.97773e-005.
  Iteration 179. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 3.02059e-006.
  Iteration 180. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 2.12502e-006.
  Iteration 181. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 1.09983e-005.
  Iteration 182. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 2.63714e-006.
  Iteration 183. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 1.16304e-006.
  Iteration 184. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 3.89835e-007.
  Iteration 185. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 2.09208e-006.
  Iteration 186. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 1.63224e-006.
  Iteration 187. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 6.22738e-007.
  Iteration 188. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 3.5389e-008.
  Iteration 189. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 8.30931e-007.
  Iteration 190. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 1.80935e-007.
  Iteration 191. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 5.17806e-007.
  Iteration 192. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 2.15507e-007.
  Iteration 193. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 7.65687e-007.
  Iteration 194. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 8.45576e-007.
  Iteration 195. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 3.36562e-007.
  Iteration 196. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 6.56533e-007.
  Iteration 197. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 2.14994e-007.
  Iteration 198. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 2.77788e-007.
  Iteration 199. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 1.52046e-007.
  Iteration 200. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 1.82205e-007.
  Iteration 201. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 2.91542e-008.
  Iteration 202. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 4.06856e-008.
  Iteration 203. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 5.71942e-008.
  Iteration 204. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 2.51702e-008.
  Iteration 205. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 1.32394e-007.
  Iteration 206. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 9.74856e-008.
  Iteration 207. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 3.55824e-008.
  Iteration 208. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 7.30542e-008.
  Iteration 209. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 2.25732e-008.
  Iteration 210. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 2.84246e-008.
  Iteration 211. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 1.63971e-008.
  Iteration 212. Log joint probability =    416.263. Improved by 7.08951e-009.
  Initial log joint probability = -15.5191
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: relative gradient magnitude is below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -7.85237
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.06012
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.03717
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -2.03717
  Optimization terminated with error: 
    Line search failed to achieve a sufficient decrease, no more progress can be made
  Initial log joint probability = -3.94349
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -15.5191
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -15.5191
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -8.80928
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: relative gradient magnitude is below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -8.80928
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: relative gradient magnitude is below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -15.5191
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: relative gradient magnitude is below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -95.784
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: relative gradient magnitude is below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -31.1159
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -31.1159
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: relative gradient magnitude is below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -95.784
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: relative gradient magnitude is below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -15.5191
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: absolute parameter change was below tolerance
  Initial log joint probability = -95.784
  Optimization terminated normally: 
    Convergence detected: relative gradient magnitude is below tolerance